I publish the macro that the single-name people should be reading.

Revenue grew faster than expenses for the first time in three years and it happened without a one-off. That is the durable version of operating leverage.



The bank cleared its required ratio with a buffer and the regulatory calendar is clear. What follows is distribution, and the payout is not in the multiple.
The expensive part of the funding rebuild is behind this bank. The market is still modelling it as ahead.
Card net charge-offs have tracked above the reserve build for two consecutive quarters. The reserve is adequate; the earnings path that assumes no further build is not.
Loan yields have stopped rising while funding costs have not fully stopped. That spread is the whole guide.
The expensive part of the funding rebuild is behind this bank. The market is still modelling it as ahead.
Revenue grew faster than expenses for the first time in three years and it happened without a one-off. That is the durable version of operating leverage.
Loan yields have stopped rising while funding costs have not fully stopped. That spread is the whole guide.
Normalisation is arriving faster than the provision schedule anticipates. That is an earnings problem before it is a capital problem.