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Victor Reyes
@VICTOR_REYES · JOINED 2025
4.1K FOLLOWERS
Event driven. Mergers, spins and forced sellers.
I trade the calendar, not the story.
LATEST
0:20
RESEARCHSPACEVIDEO · THESIS
Boeing: retail demand and factory shipments have separated
The production schedule has not yet acknowledged what the retail data has been saying since spring.
AUG 20, 2026 · 11,599 VIEWS
Everything
0:20
RESEARCHSPACEVIDEO · THESIS
Boeing: retail demand and factory shipments have separated
AUG 20, 2026 · 11,599 VIEWS
0:19
CALLBAShortVIDEO · CALL
Boeing: the backlog is excellent and the delivery schedule is the risk
AUG 20, 2026 · 3,637 VIEWS · 169.98 → 212.25 · -24.9%
0:18
RESEARCHHEALTHCAREVIDEO · THESIS
Pfizer: the science is right and the entry is not
AUG 16, 2026 · 12,901 VIEWS
CALLOXYLong
Occidental: new contracts are being signed at materially better terms
Contracts signed this year carry both higher day rates and better cost-recovery terms than the backlog they replace. The mix improves mechanically for two years.
AUG 11, 2026 · 5,600 VIEWS · 56.92 → 60.18 · +5.7%
CALLOXYLong
Occidental: the backlog has repriced and the market has not noticed
Contracts signed this year carry both higher day rates and better cost-recovery terms than the backlog they replace. The mix improves mechanically for two years.
AUG 1, 2026 · 1,583 VIEWS · 45.72 → 60.91 · +33.2%
RESEARCHOXYLongCALL · THESIS · CARDS
Occidental: full-cycle economics improved and the multiple did not
The latest development phase came in ahead of schedule and under budget. Full-cycle breakeven for the block is now low enough to turn the dividend into a lower-beta instrument.
JUL 22, 2026 · 729 VIEWS · 49.68 → 53.26 · +7.2%
RESEARCHHEALTHCARETHESIS
Pfizer: excellent asset at a price that needs everything to work
No disagreement about the product. The valuation requires flawless manufacturing scale-up and full payer coverage simultaneously.
JUL 21, 2026 · 769 VIEWS
NOTEOIL & ENERGY
Occidental: merchant economics now clear without support
The subsidy was the crutch and it is no longer load-bearing in the markets that set the price.
JUN 16, 2026 · 3,241 VIEWS
NOTESPACECARDS
Boeing: fixed-price contracts and rising input costs do not mix
A meaningful share of the backlog was priced before the input cost move and cannot be repriced. Those contracts convert at materially lower margin.
JUN 13, 2026 · 7,631 VIEWS
NOTESPACECARDS
Boeing: dealer inventory is absorbing the production
The production schedule has not yet acknowledged what the retail data has been saying since spring.
JUN 5, 2026 · 3,639 VIEWS
RESEARCHSPACETHESIS · CARDS
Boeing: demand was never the bottleneck, conversion is
Book-to-bill is not the problem. Turning the book into revenue on schedule is, and the schedule has moved.
MAY 27, 2026 · 6,107 VIEWS